50% Tech + 50% Energy: Does This Simple Portfolio Beat the S&P 500?
A viral tweet claims: 50% XLK + 50% XLE beats the S&P 500. We ran 22 years of data against it — with real transaction costs and three rebalancing variants.
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The Holy Grail of Trading Exists.
It's not a single strategy.
Not a signal service.
Not a guru.
But a structured portfolio of robust trading systems – developed together and executed transparently.
"...cancelled everything else right away!"
— Felix
This is what the result of my last real-money challenge looked like.
Not because I didn't have a strategy.
Not because I was undisciplined.
But because my trading wasn't built as a system.
I traded discretionary. Part of my decisions were still a matter of interpretation. And there was only this one strategy.
In concrete terms, that means:
Too few trades, so
too much capital sits idle, and
performance depends on a few big winners.
The result?
Fluctuating equity.
Emotional phases.
No real predictability.
Does that sound familiar?
After 26 years in the markets and three little boys, I don't need adrenaline anymore.
I need a system that works predictably.
Individual setups and discretionary strategies can work. But they don't scale.
The answer wasn't a new setup.
But a different architecture.
Good thing Matthias was a participant in one of my challenges.
Matthias Systematic Trader – Coding, Backtesting & Automation
Michael Discretionary Trader – 26 Years of Market Experience
Together we had a clear goal:
We don't chase the one perfect strategy. Not two similar ones either. Instead:
We build a portfolio of robust, rule-based trading systems.
Different logics.
Different markets.
Different time frames.
No single strategy is perfect. But robustly tuned together, something magical emerges.
A portfolio mix beats the search for the perfect strategy.
This no-brainer is Onlytraders. Members get the fully transparent rulesets, we discuss them together as a team, develop new strategies and execute everything with real money. No stressful day-trading — orders are placed comfortably before market open.
We're currently at 5 strategies, with a new one added every month.
Blue = our published OT strategy mix, Red = S&P 500 (benchmark). No hocus pocus. No empty promises. Just systematic trading – developed together with a community of like-minded people and executed with discipline.
Community Love
Our Real-Money Account Is Only One Side of the Coin.
Even more important to us than profitable execution on our own accounts are our members' successes:
„+39.52% YTD with just one strategy“
„I love the no-bullshit approach that's always ruthlessly based on facts and backtests“
„Amazing project. You can feel your passion and heart through the screen!“
„You show that you trade the strategies yourself — on most servers you rarely ever see that!“
„10 winners in a row, that's genius“
„For just 50 bucks a month... I think that's insane.“
„...cancelled everything else right away!“
„It's been going absolutely great and you learn so much“
„Satisfied“
„Top returns with minimal effort. A real dream!“
„Since I monetized the system, I've only seen beautiful numbers“
„The exchange here is truly great. The structure in Discord is top!“
Live Performance · As of Q1 2026
Dream start with +16.59%
in 4 months.
While the Nasdaq 100 lost over 7%, our real-money account is delivering.
No dry theory or backtests — live traded since December 2025.
Return +16.59%
Profit Factor 2.56
Win Rate 63.3%
Sharpe 2.26
Max DD -2.33%
Calmar 26.41
Trades 60
Avg Win €95.79
Avg Loss €-64.55
Expectancy 0.573
View from the OT-Terminal — our application for trading & tracking.
OT - Terminal:
Your Link to the Market
OT - Terminal connects the OnlyTraders strategies directly with the multi-market account from WH SelfInvest. Receive signals, place orders — for all strategies in less than 5 minutes per day. The application also serves as a trading journal and analysis tool.
Strategies & Content
What Awaits You Inside
Community Strategy
1% per week
Complete ruleset revealed – transparent and reproducible for everyone. No coding, no special software required. New setups are introduced monthly.
Daily DAX Zones
+337 DAX points in a single day
Georg Mindermann – veteran and expert for DAX zones. Every day he analyzes his zone strategy live and explains entries and exits in real time.
System Development
Backtesting over Gut Feeling
Build, test and improve strategies together – data-driven and robust. From first backtest to live trading.
Your Way to Us
Choose Your Entry
OT-Tradingletter
€ 0
Regular Newsletter
- ✓ Real money trades of the week
- ✓ Results of community strategies
- ✓ Tools, links and checklists
- ✓ Honest broker & tool tests
Monthly Sub
€ 69
per month / monthly cancellable
- ✓ All strategies with transparent rules
- ✓ Execution on real-money accounts
- ✓ Exchange with real traders and like-minded people
- ✓ Member area with all Gold Nuggets
- ✓ Events online and offline
Tradingletter
Regular market analysis, real trades and learnings – directly to your inbox.
- 100% free
- Weekly in your inbox
- No spam – only value
- Unsubscribe anytime
FAQ
Q & A
What is Discord? Do I have to use it? +
Discord is a free chat platform, effectively our digital clubhouse. Here we meet to chat, trade together, exchange strategy ideas and turn them step by step into comprehensible rulesets. Having to read along in a chat daily to not miss anything is not for everyone. We are aware of that.
Therefore, we will send out daily and weekly summaries of the most important findings and discussions via email. Additionally, there will be a central member area as a 'vault' for everything valuable. All community strategies, tools, scripts, video tutorials, webinar recordings, etc. will be stored there centrally.
Is this another signal service? +
Goodness no. Blackbox signals are just a crutch. We want everyone to cross the finish line as a successful trader on their own legs and rulesets. Community strategies are developed transparently, shown in live trading and made available to everyone. If you don't want to implement them yourself in software: Yes, you will even be able to get the signals generated for you. But not without understanding the system behind it 100%.
Can I join as a complete beginner? +
Life follows the Pareto principle. We assume that 20% of members will provide 80% of the content. The already profitable, experienced traders are the golden minority. And they share their knowledge with beginners. For faster learning curves with less pain.
I am already profitable, what's in it for me? +
Congratulations and welcome to the champions league! A tree that stops growing starts dying. Here you can get inspiration from algo traders, tips from Forex veterans and strategies from DAX specialists. From day trading to momentum trades on monthly charts, everything is included.
Anyone who feels comfortable in the community and wants to contribute actively can join the team. Revenue from subscriptions will flow back to the active members of the community in various ways. Feel free to contact michael@onlytraders.com if you think you can offer value to others.
A Welcoming Atmosphere
Quality Over Quantity.
To avoid information overload on Discord, we place great value on a pleasant atmosphere. We are currently a tight-knit community of fewer than 250 traders. Should growth become too large, we will introduce access limits to maintain quality.
We are constantly working on new features, tools and improvements for the community. As the value grows, we will adjust prices with every powerful new strategy we add. As an early member, you benefit from today's still lower prices.
Cancel monthly anytime
Clean, organized Discord
